Madison Keys vs Jelena Ostapenko Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
HEAD TO HEAD
M. Keys vs J. Ostapenko
Madison Keys
USA
w
w
w
l
w
w
l
l
l
l
4
Win
6
Played
2
Win
30
Age
28
1.78m
Height
1.77m
7
C. Rank
23
5
Best Rank
5
11
Total Titles
9
2
YTD Titles
1
$20.8M
Career Money
$11.7M
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Plays
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Jelena Ostapenko
LAT
l
l
w
l
l
w
l
l
l
l
4
Win
6
Played
2
Win
30
Age
28
1.78m
Height
1.77m
7
C. Rank
23
5
Best Rank
5
11
Total Titles
9
2
YTD Titles
1
$20.8M
Career Money
$11.7M
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Plays
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Head-to-head: Keys 4 - 2 Ostapenko
They have played 13 sets in total, with Madison Keys winning 8 and Jelena Ostapenko winning 5. The last match between Madison Keys and Jelena Ostapenko was at the Adelaide International - Adelaide, 08-01-2025, Round: R2, Surface: Hard, with Madison Keys getting the victory 3-6 6-4 6-3.
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Keys | 4 |
| Ostapenko | 2 |
Last 6 H2H Matches:
(R2) Adelaide International - Adelaide(01-08-25)
Madison Keys
3
6
6
Jelena Ostapenko
6
4
3
(R1) Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha(02-14-23)
Jelena Ostapenko
7
6
Madison Keys
5
2
(R2) Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati(08-17-22)
Madison Keys
6
7
Jelena Ostapenko
4
5
M. Keys vs J. Ostapenko H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $20,819,148 | Career Prize Money | $11,743,067 |
| 64.27% (421-234) | Career Total W/L | 61.23% (409-259) |
| 1 | Clay | 0 |
| 1 | Grass | 1 |
| 2 | Hard | 1 |
| 14 | Titles | 16 |
| 4 | Total H2H Matches | 2 |
| 71.15% (37-15) | YTD Win/Loss | 47.37% (18-20) |
| 2 | YTD Titles | 1 |
M. Keys vs J. Ostapenko Match Preview:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Madison Keys has won 40.96% of points on their second serve, while Jelena Ostapenko has won 38.57%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Madison Keys, in recent form, has won 49.77% of their opponent's second serve points, while Jelena Ostapenko has won 50.11%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.25% and 32.38% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Madison Keys has saved 57.20% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Jelena Ostapenko has saved 40.29% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Madison Keys has won 71.15% of matches played (W/L 37/15), with Jelena Ostapenko winning 47.37% (W/L 18/20) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Madison Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 71% (W/L 54/22), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 50% (W/L 17/17). Jelena Ostapenko has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 71% (W/L 54/26), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 54% (W/L 145/125).
- Player level: In the last year, Madison Keys has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 63.64% of matches (W/L 14/8), where as Jelena Ostapenko has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 41.18% of matches (W/L 7/10). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 6 times before with Madison Keys winning 4 times and Jelena Ostapenko being victorious 1 times. They have played 13 sets in total, with Madison Keys winning 8 and Jelena Ostapenko winning 5.
- The last match between Madison Keys and Jelena Ostapenko was at the Adelaide International - Adelaide, 08-01-2025, Round: R2, Surface: Hard, with Madison Keys getting the victory 3-6 6-4 6-3.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:31:8.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Madison Keys has played against opponents with an average rank of 48.37 while Jelena Ostapenko has played against players with an average rank of 62.92.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Madison Keys has won 71% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Jelena Ostapenko has won 64% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Madison Keys has converted 36.48% of breakpoint opportunities, and Jelena Ostapenko has converted 50.54% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Madison Keys vs Jelena Ostapenko Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
M. Keys vs J. Ostapenko H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 4 | H2H Matches Won | 1 |
| 8 | Sets Won | 5 |
| 69 | Games Won | 61 |
| 28 | Aces (Total) | 17 |
| 12 | Total Double Faults | 34 |
| 1:31:8 | Average Match Time | 1:31:8 |
| 64% (282/438) | 1st Serve % | 57% (257/448) |
| 66% (185/282) | 1st Serve Win % | 65% (166/257) |
| 46% (72/156) | 2nd Serve Win % | 44% (84/191) |
| 41% (24/59) | Break Pts Won % | 47% (20/43) |
| 44% (198/448) | Return Points Win % | 41% (181/438) |
| 80% (4/5) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 20% (1/5) |
| 100% (2/2) | Deciding Set Win % | 0% (0/2) |
| 100% (2/2) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 50% (2/4) |
| 0% (0/2) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 50% (2/4) |
| 50% (2/4) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/2) |
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Keys 47%, Ostapenko 41%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Keys 54%, Ostapenko 57%.
Break Points Saved %: Keys 58%, Ostapenko 50%.
M. Keys Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 WTA Finals - Riyadh - 03-11-2025 | ||||
Robin Amanda AnisimovaA. Anisimova | L | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | ||
Robin  Iga SwiatekI. Swiatek | L | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025 | ||||
R1  Renata ZarazuaR. Zarazua | L | 6-7(10) 7-6(3) 7-5 | ||
| Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025 | ||||
R4  Elena RybakinaE. Rybakina | L | 6-7(3) 6-4 6-2 | ||
R3  Aoi ItoA. Ito | W | 6-4 6-0 | ||
J. Ostapenko Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wuhan Open - Wuhan - 06-10-2025 | ||||
R1  Sorana CirsteaS. Cirstea | L | 6-0 2-1 ret. | ||
| China Open - Beijing - 22-09-2025 | ||||
R2  Priscilla HonP. Hon | L | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara - 08-09-2025 | ||||
R2  Marina StakusicM. Stakusic | L | 6-4 6-7(6) 6-2 | ||
| U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025 | ||||
R2 Taylor TownsendT. Townsend | L | 7-5 6-1 | ||
R1  Xiyu WangX. Wang | W | 6-4 6-3 | ||
M. Keys vs J. Ostapenko Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 64.27% (421/234) | YTD Win/Loss | 61.23% (409/259) |
| 62.25% (935/567) | Sets Win/Loss | 57.77% (900/658) |
| 54.63% (7694/6389) | Games Win/Loss | 53.38% (7632/6665) |
| 64.12% (252/141) | Hard Win/Loss | 53.70% (145/125) |
| 64.47% (98/54) | Clay Win/Loss | 66.86% (117/58) |
| 50.00% (17/17) | Indoor Hard W/L | 65.03% (93/50) |
| 71.05% (54/22) | Grass Win/Loss | 67.50% (54/26) |
| 0.42 | Aces Per Game | 0.24 |
| 2893 | Aces Total | 1647 |
| 0.21 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.43 |
| 1416 | Total Double Faults | 3031 |
| 1:19:25 | Average Match Time | 1:13:48 |
| 352.72 | Average Opponent Rank | 374.8 |
| 63% (25508/40424) | 1st Serve % | 56% (20945/37471) |
| 69% (17495/25508) | 1st Serve Win % | 65% (13671/20945) |
| 48% (7162/14899) | 2nd Serve Win % | 43% (7174/16512) |
| 44% (2121/4838) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 49% (2313/4708) |
| 43% (18091/41631) | Return Points Win % | 46% (17077/37028) |
| 70.86% (124/51) | Slam W/L | 61.39% (62/39) |
| 55.77% (116/92) | Masters W/L | 52.38% (88/80) |
| 44.44% (4/5) | Cups W/L | 58.06% (18/13) |
| 66.32% (126/64) | Main Tour W/L | 60.17% (139/92) |
| 64.91% (37/20) | Challenger W/L | 66.25% (53/27) |
| 87.50% (14/2) | Futures W/L | 85.96% (49/8) |
| 65% (417/643) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 61% (399/653) |
| 25% (1/4) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 40% (2/5) |
| 58% (102/177) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 57% (76/134) |
| 53% (104/197) | Deciding Set Win % | 61% (139/227) |
| 87% (426/369) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 86% (387/333) |
| 13% (426/56) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 14% (387/54) |
| 22% (229/51) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 26% (281/74) |
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