Madison Keys vs Jelena Ostapenko Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
M. Keys vs J. Ostapenko

Madison Keys

USA

4

Win

Played

2

Win

Age

1.78m

Height

1.77m

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$20.8M

Career Money

$11.7M

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Plays

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Jelena Ostapenko

LAT

4

Win

Played

2

Win

Age

1.78m

Height

1.77m

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$20.8M

Career Money

$11.7M

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Plays

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Head-to-head: Keys 4 - 2 Ostapenko

They have played 13 sets in total, with Madison Keys winning 8 and Jelena Ostapenko winning 5. The last match between Madison Keys and Jelena Ostapenko was at the Adelaide International - Adelaide, 08-01-2025, Round: R2, Surface: Hard, with Madison Keys getting the victory 3-6 6-4 6-3.

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Keys	4
Ostapenko	2

Last 6 H2H Matches:

(R2) Adelaide International - Adelaide(01-08-25)

Stats

Madison Keys

Jelena Ostapenko

(R1) Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha(02-14-23)

Stats

Jelena Ostapenko

Madison Keys

(R2) Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati(08-17-22)

Stats

Madison Keys

Jelena Ostapenko

M. Keys vs J. Ostapenko H2H Profile

M. Keys	Stats	J. Ostapenko
$20,819,148	Career Prize Money	$11,743,067
64.27% (421-234)	Career Total W/L	61.23% (409-259)
1	Clay	0
1	Grass	1
2	Hard	1
14	Titles	16
4	Total H2H Matches	2
71.15% (37-15)	YTD Win/Loss	47.37% (18-20)
2	YTD Titles	1

M. Keys vs J. Ostapenko Match Preview:

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Madison Keys has won 41.04% of points on their second serve, while Jelena Ostapenko has won 37.41%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Madison Keys, in recent form, has won 50.31% of their opponent's second serve points, while Jelena Ostapenko has won 50.34%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.93% and 31.73% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Madison Keys has saved 54.55% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Jelena Ostapenko has saved 38.89% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Madison Keys has won 71.15% of matches played (W/L 37/15), with Jelena Ostapenko winning 47.37% (W/L 18/20) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Madison Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 71% (W/L 54/22), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 50% (W/L 17/17). Jelena Ostapenko has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 71% (W/L 54/26), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 54% (W/L 145/125).
Player level: In the last year, Madison Keys has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 63.64% of matches (W/L 14/8), where as Jelena Ostapenko has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 41.18% of matches (W/L 7/10). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 6 times before with Madison Keys winning 4 times and Jelena Ostapenko being victorious 1 times. They have played 13 sets in total, with Madison Keys winning 8 and Jelena Ostapenko winning 5.
The last match between Madison Keys and Jelena Ostapenko was at the Adelaide International - Adelaide, 08-01-2025, Round: R2, Surface: Hard, with Madison Keys getting the victory 3-6 6-4 6-3.
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:31:8.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Madison Keys has played against opponents with an average rank of 48.92 while Jelena Ostapenko has played against players with an average rank of 63.03.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Madison Keys has won 71% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Jelena Ostapenko has won 64% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Madison Keys has converted 40.71% of breakpoint opportunities, and Jelena Ostapenko has converted 56.14% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Madison Keys vs Jelena Ostapenko Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

M. Keys vs J. Ostapenko H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

M. Keys	Stats	J. Ostapenko
4	H2H Matches Won	1
8	Sets Won	5
69	Games Won	61
28	Aces (Total)	17
12	Total Double Faults	34
1:31:8	Average Match Time	1:31:8
64% (282/438)	1st Serve %	57% (257/448)
66% (185/282)	1st Serve Win %	65% (166/257)
46% (72/156)	2nd Serve Win %	44% (84/191)
41% (24/59)	Break Pts Won %	47% (20/43)
44% (198/448)	Return Points Win %	41% (181/438)
80% (4/5)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	20% (1/5)
100% (2/2)	Deciding Set Win %	0% (0/2)
100% (2/2)	1st Set Won, Won Match	50% (2/4)
0% (0/2)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	50% (2/4)
50% (2/4)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	0% (0/2)

Recent Performance Stats

M. Keys Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
WTA Finals - Riyadh - 03-11-2025
Robin Amanda AnisimovaA. Anisimova	L	4-6 6-3 6-2	Stats
Robin Iga SwiatekI. Swiatek	L	6-1 6-2	Stats
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
R1 Renata ZarazuaR. Zarazua	L	6-7(10) 7-6(3) 7-5	Stats
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025
R4 Elena RybakinaE. Rybakina	L	6-7(3) 6-4 6-2	Stats
R3 Aoi ItoA. Ito	W	6-4 6-0	Stats

View All

J. Ostapenko Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Wuhan Open - Wuhan - 06-10-2025
R1 Sorana CirsteaS. Cirstea	L	6-0 2-1 ret.	Stats
China Open - Beijing - 22-09-2025
R2 Priscilla HonP. Hon	L	6-3 6-2	Stats
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara - 08-09-2025
R2 Marina StakusicM. Stakusic	L	6-4 6-7(6) 6-2	Stats
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
R2 Taylor TownsendT. Townsend	L	7-5 6-1	Stats
R1 Xiyu WangX. Wang	W	6-4 6-3	Stats

View All

M. Keys vs J. Ostapenko Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

M. Keys	Stats	J. Ostapenko
64.27% (421/234)	YTD Win/Loss	61.23% (409/259)
62.25% (935/567)	Sets Win/Loss	57.77% (900/658)
54.63% (7694/6389)	Games Win/Loss	53.38% (7632/6665)
64.12% (252/141)	Hard Win/Loss	53.70% (145/125)
64.47% (98/54)	Clay Win/Loss	66.86% (117/58)
50.00% (17/17)	Indoor Hard W/L	65.03% (93/50)
71.05% (54/22)	Grass Win/Loss	67.50% (54/26)
0.42	Aces Per Game	0.24
2893	Aces Total	1647
0.21	Double Faults Per Game	0.43
1416	Total Double Faults	3031
1:19:25	Average Match Time	1:13:48
355.27	Average Opponent Rank	378.06
63% (25508/40424)	1st Serve %	56% (20945/37471)
69% (17495/25508)	1st Serve Win %	65% (13671/20945)
48% (7162/14899)	2nd Serve Win %	43% (7174/16512)
44% (2121/4838)	Break Points Won % (Total)	49% (2313/4708)
43% (18091/41631)	Return Points Win %	46% (17077/37028)
70.86% (124/51)	Slam W/L	61.39% (62/39)
55.77% (116/92)	Masters W/L	52.38% (88/80)
44.44% (4/5)	Cups W/L	58.06% (18/13)
66.32% (126/64)	Main Tour W/L	60.17% (139/92)
64.91% (37/20)	Challenger W/L	66.25% (53/27)
87.50% (14/2)	Futures W/L	85.96% (49/8)
65% (417/643)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	61% (399/653)
25% (1/4)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	40% (2/5)
58% (102/177)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	57% (76/134)
53% (104/197)	Deciding Set Win %	61% (139/227)
87% (426/369)	1st Set Won, Won Match	86% (387/333)
13% (426/56)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	14% (387/54)
22% (229/51)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	26% (281/74)